📊 Recap
Pickens finished with 57 receiving yards, just short of the 60.5 line. The matchup and volume metrics supported the play, but variance wins sometimes — the process was sound even if the result wasn't.
📊 Recap
CeeDee Lamb finished with 5 receptions, falling short of the 6.5 line. The volume profile and target share supported the play — this time the production didn't follow. A losing result, but a process we'd back again in a similar spot.
📊 Recap
Makai Lemon finished with 7 receptions, well clear of the 4.5 line — a tough result. The logic around his target share held up on paper, but he outperformed his season average significantly on the night.
📊 Recap
The under on Darius Cooper's receptions cashed cleanly, with his limited role in Philadelphia's offense playing out exactly as projected. A secondary target averaging 1.3 catches per game had little reason to suddenly become a volume receiver, and the market's 3.5 line never reflected that reality.
📊 Recap
The Cowboys covered the spread and then some, rolling to a 38-21 win exactly as our model projected. McKee and a hobbled Eagles offense struggled to keep pace with Dallas's top-10 attack — the process was sound, and the result followed.
Want the full card?
Premium members get all picks, risk profiles, and position sizing.
View Premium Picks →