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MLB Picks – Oct 26

MLB Value Slate — Oct 26: Mispriced line on Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays. 4 plays inside featuring model-projected value.

📅 Results updated: 7:27 AM ET•4 free picks
1-3 (-2.0u)
MLB Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
LOST ✗Final
Our Pick
Jake Bauers OVER 0.5 hits (-120)
Result-1u

📊 Recap

Bauers went hitless tonight, and the result didn't go our way. With a projection near 0.9 hits and lineup position supporting volume, the process was sound — sometimes the ball just doesn't fall. We move on.

Posted: 10/26/2026 7:24 AM ET
MLB Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
LOST ✗Final
Our Pick
Yandy Diaz UNDER 1.5 hits (-220)
Final Score2
Result-1u

📊 Recap

Yandy Diaz cleared the 1.5-hit threshold and the under didn't cash. The process was sound given his October track record and Milwaukee's effective pitching, but tonight belonged to Diaz.

Posted: 10/26/2026 7:24 AM ET
MLB Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
Brewers ML (-101)
Final Score10-1
Result+0.5u

📊 Recap

The Brewers delivered a convincing 10-1 win, validating both the run-differential edge and bullpen depth we leaned on. Milwaukee's underlying numbers weren't just statistical noise — they showed up when it counted.

Posted: 10/26/2026 7:24 AM ET
MLB Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
LOST ✗Final
Our Pick
Ryan Vilade OVER 0.5 hits (-105)
Result-0.5u

📊 Recap

Vilade didn't deliver the hit we needed, and the result goes in the loss column. The volume and price point still made this a reasonable spot — sometimes the ball doesn't fall — but tonight it didn't.

Posted: 10/26/2026 7:24 AM ET

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