NHL Picks – Oct 21

Buffalo dropped this one 3-1, and Philadelphia earned the result. We liked the situational lean, sized it accordingly given the thin edge, and this is exactly the kind of low-margin spot where variance wins sometimes — no complaints with the process here.

Panthers ML didn't get there, dropping 1-5 in Ottawa. The structural edge we identified was real, but the Senators executed cleanly and Florida couldn't convert — variance happens, and the sizing reflected the narrow edge from the start.