📊 Recap
The Under 50.5 fell short as the Bears and Patriots combined for 54 points in a 30-24 final. The defensive structure we leaned on didn't hold, and the total cleared our projection by 8 — a clean loss with no mitigating context to point to.
📊 Recap
Chicago pulled away for a 30-24 win, covering at home and exceeding our projected margin. The edge was always thin here, and the result reflects that — no process concerns, just a near coin-flip that didn't fall our way.
📊 Recap
Maye finished with 321 passing yards, clearing the line by a comfortable margin. The process was sound — his road averages and the Bears' defensive profile still supported the under — but the variance didn't fall our way today.
📊 Recap
Luther Burden III delivered, finishing with 130 receiving yards as New England's depleted secondary created exactly the structural mismatch we anticipated. The process was sound — a stat line near his average paired with a clear defensive vulnerability — and the result reflected that edge.
Want the full card?
Premium members get all picks, risk profiles, and position sizing.
View Premium Picks →