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NBA Picks – Oct 22

Sharp NBA Plays — Oct 22: Market gap in Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers. 6 plays inside featuring model-projected value.

📅 Results updated: 7:23 AM ET•6 free picks
4-2 (+1.5u)
NBA Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
Tyrese Maxey OVER 22.5 points
Final Score32
Result+1u

📊 Recap

Maxey delivered a 32-point performance, validating the case built around his elevated usage and recent scoring baseline. The process was sound, and the result followed.

Posted: 10/22/2026 1:24 PM ET
NBA Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers
LOST ✗Final
Our Pick
Cavaliers +3.5
Final Score106-114
Result-0.5u

📊 Recap

Philadelphia handled Cleveland cleanly, winning 114-106 to cover comfortably. The Cavaliers never kept it close enough to cash the +3.5, and while our model projected a near pick'em, the 76ers had other plans — a small-unit play, a small-unit loss.

Posted: 10/22/2026 1:24 PM ET
NBA Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
UNDER 237.5
Final Score106-114
Result+0.5u

📊 Recap

The model's projection of 235 proved accurate, as a defensive, controlled game kept both offenses in check and the final combined score of 220 came in well under the 237.5 total. Clean result — process and outcome aligned.

Posted: 10/22/2026 1:24 PM ET
NBA Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
Thunder -8.5
Final Score84-96
Result+0.5u

📊 Recap

The Thunder's elite defense showed up in a big way, holding Denver to just 84 points and covering the -8.5 comfortably. Identifying that half-point of value against a Nuggets team still finding its footing was the right read.

Posted: 10/22/2026 1:24 PM ET
NBA Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
UNDER 236.5
Final Score84-96
Result+0.5u

📊 Recap

The under hit comfortably, with the final score of 84-96 (180 total) validating Oklahoma City's elite defensive identity and the projected pace slowdown. The model's read on this matchup was sound from the start.

Posted: 10/22/2026 1:24 PM ET
NBA Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
LOST ✗Final
Our Pick
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 30.5 points
Final Score84-96
Result-0.5u

📊 Recap

SGA finished below the 30.5 threshold in a low-scoring 84-96 Nuggets win, a game environment that was always going to make this a tough climb. The lean was measured for a reason — variance like this is part of the process.

Posted: 10/22/2026 1:24 PM ET

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