📊 Recap
Nacua delivered exactly what the target volume projected, finishing with 17 receptions as Buffalo's permissive pace environment fueled a high-touch game script. The process held — high-volume role, favorable matchup, and our 64% model confidence translated cleanly into a winning result.
📊 Recap
Kincaid finished with just 7 receiving yards, well below our mid-40s projection and the 57.5 threshold. His limited route participation and the Rams' stout defense played out exactly as anticipated — a clean result backed by sound process.
📊 Recap
The Rams covered in a high-scoring affair but fell short in the end, with the Bills winning 37-34. We sized this small for a reason — the model saw near-coin-flip odds — but the result didn't go our way. No excuses; we move on.
📊 Recap
The Bills and Rams combined for 71 points, validating the high-scoring environment we identified through Buffalo's scoring profile and L.A.'s pace. A back-and-forth game with both offenses producing kept the scoreboard moving — exactly the setup we targeted.
📊 Recap
Stafford delivered a strong 383-yard performance, validating our read on Buffalo's fatigued defense creating sustained passing volume. The model's 281-yard projection proved conservative, but the directional edge held — a clean win.
📊 Recap
Kyren Williams delivered, with his role as a high-volume underneath target playing out exactly as modeled. The process was sound, the usage held, and the line at 19.5 was simply too low to fade.
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