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Our Under 215.5 cashed comfortably as the final total of 214 landed exactly where our projections anticipated. Boston's defensive dominance at home and Philadelphia's offensive struggles without Embiid played out as expected, validating the historical Game 1 Under tendency.
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Our structural analysis played out perfectly as Boston's depth and defensive superiority overwhelmed a compromised Philadelphia squad, with the Celtics controlling both ends of the floor in a dominant 32-point victory that validated the clear matchup advantage we identified.
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Our Under 2.5 points bet on Adem Bona lost despite sound process reasoning around his limited role and Boston's defensive prowess. The backup center exceeded his modest threshold in what became a blowout loss for Philadelphia.
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Our Under 6.5 Rebounds+Assists play on Vucevic missed as he exceeded the total in Boston's dominant 123-91 victory over Philadelphia. The Celtics' rebounding advantage materialized as expected, but Vucevic's peripheral production proved stronger than anticipated in the blowout environment.
📊 Recap
Our Adem Bona PRA under 7.5 (+121) cashed as expected, with the backup center's limited role playing out exactly as projected in what became a blowout victory for Boston. The defensive game script we anticipated materialized, supporting both our individual player prop and broader slate correlation.
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The Thunder's elite defense delivered exactly as projected, holding Phoenix to just 84 points while controlling the game from start to finish. Our analysis correctly identified how Oklahoma City's top-rated defensive unit would exploit Phoenix's fatigue and playoff inexperience in this spot.
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Oklahoma City delivered the dominant home performance we anticipated, controlling the game from start to finish and covering the 14.5-point spread with room to spare in a 35-point victory. The Thunder's superior form and Phoenix's compromised state played out exactly as our process identified.
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Our Alex Caruso PRA Under 10.5 cashed as projected, with the game script playing out exactly as anticipated - the blowout nature (84-119) limited his minutes and usage in a non-competitive contest.
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Our defensive foundation held as both teams combined for just 213 points, falling comfortably under our 219.5 target. Detroit's elite defense and Orlando's scheduling fatigue played out exactly as projected in this low-scoring affair.
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Bane delivered with the expanded role we anticipated, clearing 26.5 PRA as Orlando's offensive flow ran through his hands exactly as projected. Our read on the increased usage and recent production trends proved accurate for a clean winner.
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Banchero exceeded our 20.5 projection as Detroit's defensive framework didn't constrain his scoring output as anticipated. The process behind targeting strong defensive matchups remains sound, but execution didn't align with our thesis in this instance.
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Carter Jr. hit 1 three-pointer on 3 attempts, defeating our under despite the solid process behind targeting his historically low volume from beyond the arc. The defensive-minded total projection materialized correctly, but variance went against us on this prop.
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The UNDER 221.5 cashed comfortably as San Antonio's elite defense delivered exactly as projected, holding Portland to just 98 points in a controlled 111-98 victory that totaled 209 points—well below our target number.
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The rest advantage materialized exactly as projected, with San Antonio controlling the game throughout and covering the 11.5-point spread comfortably in a 111-98 victory. Portland's fatigue showed defensively, allowing the Spurs to execute efficiently on their home floor.
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