📊 Recap
Atlanta fell 6–5 in a one-run game, just short of covering the -1.5. The process was sound — Sale's matchup advantage and the lineup edge were real — but baseball's margins are unforgiving, and this one didn't go our way.
📊 Recap
Cleveland fell 3-1 to Minnesota, and the result didn't go our way. The model's edge and sharp alignment were real — sometimes the process is sound and the outcome isn't. Take the loss, move on.
📊 Recap
The Under 7.5 cashed cleanly, with both starters limiting damage in a 3-1 final that matched the sharp money's thesis. Professional positioning, neutral conditions, and a historically stingy ballpark all aligned — a straightforward win for the process.
📊 Recap
Tampa Bay fell 3-1 to Toronto, and the process here remains sound despite the result. Seymour's underlying metrics and the structural edge were legitimate — sometimes a strong model meets a tough day at the plate.
📊 Recap
Arizona handled business in a convincing 10-6 win. Pfaadt's edge over this Cardinals lineup held up, and McGreevy's underlying metrics told the right story — the market had St. Louis mispriced, and we cashed on the better projected side at plus money.
📊 Recap
The Over 7.5 cashed comfortably in a 10-6 final, with both offenses delivering exactly what the ERA profiles and sharp money suggested. The 1.4-run projection gap held up, and the divergence between handle and tickets proved meaningful.
📊 Recap
The under cashed cleanly, with both offenses delivering exactly the quiet night the numbers projected. Melton's strong stretch continued, Comerica's run-suppressing environment did its job, and a 4-3 final kept things well inside the 8.5 total.
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