📊 Recap
The Dodgers took this one 3-1, and the edge we identified didn't materialize. Sale's matchup profile was sound reasoning, but the result wasn't there — we sized it small for exactly this reason, and we move on.
📊 Recap
Yamamoto and Sale were locked in from the jump, combining for a clean first inning exactly as modeled. The pitching matchup and environmental factors held up — a textbook NRFI result.
📊 Recap
The Padres took care of business at home, 4-3, validating our lean on the pitching mismatch. Pivetta's consistency versus May's recent struggles was the right angle, and San Diego's home-field edge did the rest.
📊 Recap
Rangers took care of business in a convincing 5-2 win, validating the model's projection. Shesterkin held firm, and the Islanders' offensive limitations without Barzal proved just as significant as anticipated.
📊 Recap
Detroit handled business at home, 5-3. The roster disparity held up — Ottawa's depleted lineup on a back-to-back couldn't match a Red Wings squad with Larkin back in the fold, exactly the edge the model identified.
📊 Recap
The Over 6.5 didn't get there, as the Wild and Sabres combined for just five goals in a tightly contested 3-2 final. The goaltending downgrade logic was sound, but both offenses went quiet when it mattered. A clean process, rough result.
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