NHL Picks – Oct 9

The Under 6.5 didn't hold, as the Red Wings and Kraken combined for nine goals in a 6-3 final. The model's projection was sound, but the offense showed up — that's variance, and we move on.

The structure was sound — depleted Columbus defense, aging goaltenders with weak save percentages — but the offenses went quiet in a 3-2 final. Sometimes the edge doesn't convert. Log it, move on.