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NHL Picks – Oct 7

NHL Value Slate — Oct 7: Model edge on Avalanche @ Jets. 3 plays inside including line movement analysis.

📅 Results updated: 7:54 AM ET•3 free picks
2-1 (+0.5u)
NHL Avalanche @ Jets
LOST ✗Final
Our Pick
Avalanche ML
Final Score2-3
Result-1.5u

📊 Recap

Avalanche fell 3-2 despite the structural edge holding up on paper — rest advantage, Hellebuyck out, and Colorado's elite offense were real factors. The Jets held firm regardless. Sometimes the right process doesn't get rewarded. We move on.

Posted: 10/7/2026 8:49 AM ET
NHL Penguins @ Capitals
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
Capitals ML
Final Score3-5
Result+1u

📊 Recap

The Capitals covered as expected in their home opener, with Thompson's edge between the pipes and the rest advantage both materializing in a convincing 5-3 win. A clean result on a disciplined 1-unit play where the process aligned with the outcome.

Posted: 10/7/2026 8:49 AM ET
NHL Oilers @ Ducks
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
OVER 6.5
Final Score5-2
Result+1u

📊 Recap

The over cashed at 7 total goals, right in line with our 7.3 situational projection. Levi's pedestrian save percentage held true, and the Ducks' proven ability to generate offense against Edmonton did the rest.

Posted: 10/7/2026 8:49 AM ET

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