📊 Recap
Carolina held serve in a 3-2 win, with the structural edge over a shorthanded Winnipeg squad playing out as expected. Hellebuyck and Morrissey's absences left real holes, and the Hurricanes' shot suppression did the rest.
📊 Recap
The Senators fell 3-1 in a result that didn't go our way, though the underlying process remained sound — our model held a meaningful edge and the line movement supported the position. Variance is part of the game; the methodology here was correct even if the outcome wasn't.
📊 Recap
The Under 6.5 didn't cash despite a 4-3 final that actually aligned with our projected total of 5.9 — sometimes the number lands exactly where the model expects and the result still goes against you. No process complaints here; variance happens.
📊 Recap
The Kings failed to convert on our structural edge, falling 4-1 to Boston despite the situational setup we identified. The process was sound — back-to-back fatigue, goaltending matchup, shot metrics — but the result didn't follow. We move on.
📊 Recap
The over 6.5 cashed comfortably as both offenses delivered, with the final 6-2 score validating our projected total of 7.4. Edmonton and Utah's elite scoring units showed up exactly as modeled.
📊 Recap
Golden Knights covered the fatigue angle convincingly, pulling away for a 6-2 win over a Pittsburgh team running on empty in the second half. The back-to-back wear showed exactly as expected — Vegas's territorial dominance did the rest.
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