📊 Recap
The Jets pulled out a 3-2 victory despite the back-to-back road disadvantage and backup goaltender start that formed our analytical edge. While the situational factors we identified were legitimate, execution on ice determined the outcome—variance working against a sound process-based play.
📊 Recap
Our OVER 6.5 projection missed as Avalanche-Capitals finished 3-2, falling well short of the expected offensive output. Despite Colorado's strong scoring metrics and Washington's penalty kill struggles setting up favorable conditions, both teams executed defensively and limited high-danger opportunities throughout the contest.
📊 Recap
Our fatigue thesis played out perfectly as Carolina dominated 5-1, with Pittsburgh's tired legs from the previous night's shootout clearly evident in their defensive breakdowns. The Hurricanes capitalized exactly as projected, controlling play and exploiting the back-to-back disadvantage throughout.
📊 Recap
Our systematic fade of Buffalo's back-to-back road spot with backup goaltender Lyon played out as projected, with Anaheim capitalizing on their rest advantage to secure a 6-5 victory at home.
📊 Recap
The Flames delivered the expected result at home, capitalizing on Tampa Bay's back-to-back fatigue and backup goaltending to secure a 4-3 victory. Our model's identification of value against the market odds proved correct as the projected disadvantages materialized.
Want the full card?
Premium members get all picks, risk profiles, and position sizing.
View Premium Picks →