📊 Recap
Our OVER 6.0 projection missed badly as the Avalanche-Jets game finished 3-1 for just 4 total goals, falling well short of our 6.7 model projection. Both offenses failed to execute despite favorable underlying metrics, resulting in a clear loss with no mitigating factors.
📊 Recap
The Lightning fell 4-2 despite our expected goaltending advantage and home-ice edge. While the fundamental reasoning remained sound, Carolina executed better on the night and our process didn't translate to the result.
📊 Recap
Our thesis on Pittsburgh's compromised center depth proved correct as they managed just three goals, but Utah couldn't capitalize at home despite their personnel advantage, falling 4-3 in a result that validates our process while highlighting hockey's inherent variance.
📊 Recap
Our model's 6.0 projection landed perfectly, but the half-goal cushion wasn't enough as the total hit exactly 7. Pittsburgh's depleted offense performed as expected, but we needed one fewer goal to cash the under.
📊 Recap
Our Over 6.5 cashed comfortably as Vancouver's defensive struggles materialized exactly as projected, with the teams combining for 7 goals in a 5-2 final that validated our thesis on the Canucks' porous home defense.
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