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Atlanta covered the process and the result — Holmes continued his sharp September form, and the Braves' home dominance held as they pulled away 6-2. Our model's edge at near pick'em odds was modest, but the underlying indicators delivered.
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The Under 7.5 lost despite the game finishing at just 8 total runs — a brutal one-run miss where the process held up almost perfectly. Low-scoring, pitcher-dominated baseball materialized exactly as projected; the margin simply didn't fall our way.
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Mammoth dominated wire-to-wire, delivering a clean 6-0 shutout that validated the core thesis: Chicago's structural disadvantage without Bedard was real and the market underpriced Utah's edge. Process and outcome aligned here.
📊 Recap
Canucks +1.5 didn't survive a 9-7 shootout that neither model nor bettor could reasonably anticipate. High-event games carry inherent variance, and this one simply ran off the rails — a clean loss with nothing to second-guess on the process side.
📊 Recap
The model nailed this one — DeSmith and Lankinen delivered exactly the leaky goaltending we projected, and the Oilers' high-event structure did the rest. A 9-7 final obliterated the 6.5, turning a large-edge read into a clean, comfortable winner.
📊 Recap
Browns +2.5 cashed as Pittsburgh escaped with a narrow 27-24 win — right in line with our projected 1.5-point margin. Cleveland's passing attack found room against Pittsburgh's depleted secondary, and the cushion in the number was enough to get us home.
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