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NFL Picks – Sep 24

Today's NFL Value — Sep 24: Model edge on Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers. 2 plays inside with detailed game breakdowns.

📅 Results updated: 8:07 AM ET•2 free picks
1-1 (+0.0u)
NFL Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
LOST ✗Final
Our Pick
UNDER 42.5
Final Score35-14
Result-0.5u

📊 Recap

The under 42.5 fell short as the Falcons and Packers combined for 49 points, clearing our projection by nine. The logic was sound — short week, depleted lines, sluggish offenses — but the scoreline didn't cooperate. A well-reasoned number, a losing result.

Posted: 9/24/2026 8:48 AM ET
NFL Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
WON ✓Final
Our Pick
Falcons +4.5
Final Score35-14
Result+0.5u

📊 Recap

Falcons +4.5 cashed comfortably as Atlanta handled Green Bay 35-14, covering by over three touchdowns. The Packers' offensive limitations proved real, and Penix delivered the ball-security upgrade our model anticipated — the process was sound, and the result followed.

Posted: 9/24/2026 8:48 AM ET

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