📊 Recap
Despite strong pitching form from both Montgomery and May entering the contest, the Cardinals-Pirates NRFI fell as one or both teams managed to plate a run in the opening frame, illustrating how even well-supported edges don't always materialize in baseball's inherently volatile first inning.
📊 Recap
The Yankees covered the -1.5 run line with a 4-2 victory, as Max Fried delivered another quality start and the left-handed heavy lineup capitalized on their platoon advantage against Leiter as projected.
📊 Recap
Our YRFI lost as both teams failed to score in the first inning despite our model identifying a solid 9.8% edge based on the Yankees' strong top-four production and Leiter's recent struggles. The process remains sound even when variance doesn't break our way.
📊 Recap
The NRFI failed as runs crossed the plate in the first inning, despite both teams entering with bottom-5 first-inning scoring rates. While our process identified the right underlying trends, variance didn't break our way in this spot.
📊 Recap
Our defensive projection held as both teams combined for just 182 points, well under our 215.5 target. The series pattern of lower-scoring affairs continued with Detroit's defensive pressure and Orlando's struggles creating the exact environment our model anticipated.
📊 Recap
Our Magic +3.5 pick cashed comfortably as Orlando won outright 94-88, with the home court advantage and elimination game motivation playing out exactly as our models projected in this closeout scenario.
📊 Recap
Our defensive-focused analysis missed as both teams exceeded expectations offensively, with the total clearing our projected 212.7 by over 25 points. The depleted Minnesota offense we anticipated struggled, but Denver's explosive performance drove the over in a higher-scoring contest than recent trends suggested.
📊 Recap
The Suns' desperation materialized as expected, covering the 10.5-point spread in a 131-122 loss while avoiding the blowout that had characterized their previous three games in the series.
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