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Cunningham exceeded 8.5 assists despite Cleveland's switching defense disrupting passing lanes as expected. Our read on Detroit reducing aggressive playmaking for ball security didn't materialize, and the market adjustment to his recent performance proved accurate.
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Mitchell exceeded 27.5 points as Cleveland's elimination scenario played out exactly as we anticipated - high usage and aggressive offensive approach - but variance worked against us despite the sound process of targeting a number just below his playoff baseline.
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The under cashed as a loss with Harden exceeding 6.5 assists, likely benefiting from Detroit's drop coverage creating more kickout opportunities than anticipated. The process remained sound given his recent efficiency improvements, but the assist volume proved higher than projected.
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Cunningham fell short of the 26.5-point target as our read on his scoring momentum didn't translate tonight. The process remained sound with his established volume and usage opportunity, but execution didn't align with recent patterns.
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Harris stayed within his typical scoring range as our process held up - his elevated Game 3 performance was indeed more ceiling than sustainable floor, validating our read on his inconsistent high-volume opportunities despite the expanded role.
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Allen fell short of 7.5 rebounds despite Cleveland's must-win situation at home. Our process identified the right matchup dynamics and Allen's established role as rim protector, but the rebounding opportunities simply didn't materialize as projected.
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SGA delivered with the increased usage we projected, benefiting from Williams' absence and exploiting the Lakers' help-heavy defensive scheme that created the scoring opportunities we identified in our pre-game analysis.
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Our process proved sound as Holmgren cleared the 8.5 rebound total, benefiting from extended floor time and the Lakers' continued struggles with interior size. The Thunder's frontcourt advantage materialized as projected in the competitive road environment.
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LeBron finished with 7 assists, staying under our 7.5 number as he prioritized scoring in the high-pressure matchup. Our read on his shifting role from facilitator to primary scorer proved accurate, with increased shot attempts reducing his playmaking opportunities as projected.
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Reaves delivered in the elimination spot as projected, with the high-leverage game script driving the increased usage and shot attempts we anticipated. The desperation factor played out exactly as our process suggested it would.
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Mitchell delivered as expected, surpassing 16.5 points as his established starter role and favorable matchup dynamics against the Lakers played out correctly. The consistent offensive opportunity we identified translated into another solid scoring performance.
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