📊 Recap
The OVER 225.5 fell short as Bulls-Nets finished 221 total points in a 112-109 game. Both teams shot poorly from three-point range despite our analysis correctly identifying their defensive vulnerabilities, demonstrating how variance can impact even well-reasoned totals bets.
📊 Recap
Our under 234.5 cashed comfortably as both teams combined for just 232 points in Cleveland's narrow 117-115 victory. Philadelphia's offensive struggles and the controlled pace we identified played out exactly as projected, with both sides failing to reach even 118 points.
📊 Recap
Minnesota kept it competitive throughout but couldn't secure the cover in a 110-105 loss to Houston. The underlying metrics were sound, but execution in crucial late-game possessions made the difference in a result that fell just outside our number.
📊 Recap
The Wizards-Kings total sailed over 235 with a 243-point final, as both teams shot well above their recent averages and maintained offensive efficiency throughout. Our analysis on pace and defensive matchups was sound, but the execution simply didn't align with the projected scoring environment.
📊 Recap
The Pacers covered the 4-point spread comfortably with a 127-119 victory, as their offensive efficiency advantage materialized exactly as projected against New Orleans' struggling defense. Home court value and the sharp line movement both proved accurate in this straightforward winner.
📊 Recap
Siakam delivered with 4 made threes, as New Orleans' defensive struggles against perimeter shooting and poor pick-and-pop rotations created the exact opportunities we projected. His continued aggressive shot selection in Indiana's system played out perfectly against a Pelicans defense allowing 37.1% from deep.
📊 Recap
Mitchell managed just 13 points on poor shooting efficiency, well short of our 29.5 target despite the favorable matchup conditions we identified. The process remained sound given Philadelphia's defensive vulnerabilities against guards, but Mitchell's execution simply wasn't there on the night.
📊 Recap
Thomas managed just 13 points on poor shooting, well short of our 18.5 number despite the Bulls' defensive vulnerabilities we identified. The process was sound given his recent form and matchup advantages, but sometimes variance works against even the strongest setups.
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