📊 Recap
Our UNDER 239.5 cashed comfortably as Miami's back-to-back fatigue and offensive absences played out exactly as projected, with the final total landing at 226. The Heat's compromised scoring efficiency created the gap we identified between market perception and reality.
📊 Recap
Miami's defensive foundation held as expected, limiting Utah to 111 points, but the Heat's offense struggled to create the separation our model projected, falling short of the 7.5-point spread in a 115-111 loss.
📊 Recap
Our OVER 219.5 projection missed significantly as the game totaled just 217 points, with both teams shooting well below their season averages in what became an unexpectedly low-scoring affair despite solid underlying metrics supporting our original thesis.
📊 Recap
Our UNDER 231.5 cashed comfortably as Sacramento's depleted roster delivered the projected pace collapse, with the final total landing at 214 - a full 17.5 points below the closing line and validating our mathematical edge.
📊 Recap
Our personnel-based projection proved accurate as both teams' offensive limitations materialized in a 236-point total that fell comfortably under the 239.5 number. The methodical pace and defensive focus we anticipated defined this tight contest from start to finish.
📊 Recap
Our Over 220.5 cashed comfortably as the final score totaled 227 points, with both teams hitting their projected offensive outputs. The pace and scoring efficiency aligned with our pre-game analysis, validating our assessment that the market had overcorrected this total.
📊 Recap
The Under missed as Portland exploded for 135 points despite their depleted rotation, with the Trail Blazers shooting exceptionally well from deep to push the total to 253. Our process correctly identified the reduced scoring depth, but Portland's offensive efficiency overcame the personnel limitations we projected would constrain scoring.
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