📊 Recap
Our Under 219.5 lost as Orlando-Phoenix finished 223 total points (110-113). Despite Booker's absence creating the anticipated offensive void for Phoenix, Orlando's efficient shooting performance pushed the total just over our number in what was otherwise the close, competitive game we projected.
📊 Recap
The Pelicans' compromised defense delivered as expected, allowing 126 points on the second night of a back-to-back with key defensive contributors sidelined. Our model's 4.6-point edge materialized with both teams combining for 237 points, clearing the total comfortably.
📊 Recap
Our under 233.5 was decisively beaten as Detroit-Chicago combined for 236 points in a 126-110 Bulls victory. While Detroit's defensive metrics supported our thesis, both teams shot efficiently enough to push the total over our projected range.
📊 Recap
The OVER 234.5 cashed comfortably as Memphis's defensive vulnerabilities were fully exposed in the back-to-back spot, with the final total reaching 256. Our systematic adjustment for fatigue-induced defensive breakdowns proved accurate in this scheduling situation.
📊 Recap
Our Under 230.5 missed as the Kings-Spurs total reached 261 points in a 139-122 San Antonio victory. While our defensive suppression model identified the right matchup profile, variance worked against us as both teams shot exceptionally well in a pace-up game.
📊 Recap
The Kings covered comfortably in a 139-122 loss, with our contrarian approach on the extended losing streak proving correct as garbage time scoring helped narrow what could have been a larger margin.
📊 Recap
Our OVER 218.5 missed badly as the Rockets edged the Knicks 108-106 for just 214 total points. Both offenses fell well short of their season averages in a defensive slugfest that defied our tempo projections.
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