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Our Charlotte +6.5 cashed comfortably as the Hornets covered in a 118-113 loss, with Cleveland's back-to-back fatigue and defensive struggles from their previous contest materializing as projected.
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Washington covered the +1.5 spread with a commanding 131-118 victory, as our analysis of Indiana's offensive struggles proved accurate despite the higher-than-projected scoring. The Pacers' structural limitations were exposed even more decisively than anticipated, validating our process on this back-to-back spot.
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Our Double B2B Depleted Over system delivered as projected, with both defensively vulnerable teams combining for 249 points on zero rest. The fatigue-amplified defensive breakdowns we anticipated materialized perfectly, validating the model's 8.0-point edge calculation.
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Our analysis of Utah's league-worst defense proved accurate as Memphis capitalized on the favorable matchup, winning 123-114 and covering our projected 4-point margin. The Grizzlies' home court advantage combined with Utah's defensive struggles created the value we identified in the market.
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Atlanta fell well short in a 128-97 blowout loss to Miami, turning our 4.7-point edge into a decisive loss. While our model correctly identified value in the line, Miami's dominant performance across all phases rendered our analysis irrelevant on this night.
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The defensive vulnerabilities we identified played out exactly as projected, with both teams combining for 257 points in a game that saw minimal resistance on either end. Our model's 5.6-point edge proved conservative as the total cleared comfortably.
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Our Over 212.5 analysis relied on Brooklyn's poor defensive metrics and fatigue factors, but both teams shot poorly in a defensive slugfest that totaled just 191 points. The process was sound given the data inputs, but execution variance went heavily against us.
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Our projection of a 21.6-point margin proved accurate as Oklahoma City's depth overwhelmed Brooklyn's developmental roster in a 19-point victory. The Thunder's balanced offensive attack at home delivered exactly the type of dominant performance we anticipated against the undermanned Nets.
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Our Clippers +7.5 cashed as the mathematical edge we identified played out perfectly, with LA winning outright 125-122. The healthy Kawhi Leonard and structured Clippers defense delivered exactly the competitive game our model projected against an overvalued Lakers spread.
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Our process correctly identified Denver's structural advantages, but Portland's 54-point blowout loss far exceeded any reasonable variance expectations. The Jokic matchup played out as projected, though the magnitude of Denver's dominance rendered our thin edge analysis irrelevant to the final outcome.
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